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@stepheninscoe1707
June 19, 2026 at 2:26 am
Not complicated. The VC model is a form of gambling, like the horse races. The VCs read form (what have you done up to this point). They look at the ground conditions (market and competition), they look at the potential prize (size of market, exit valuations and number of exits/odds). Then they decide how much money to place on that bet, if anything. One difference is that for some bets they also need to guess the probability of other gamblers join the bet later on and probably on worse odds (valuation). The VCs want their horse to win, but the reality is they are meeting on several horses in several races and only need some of them to win. They are not all in on one horse.