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How Far Away Is a Ceasefire? An Update on Gaza and the Rafah Invasion | Ian Bremmer

In an exploration of conflict and diplomacy, president and founder of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media Ian Bremmer joins TED’s Helen Walters to unravel the ideological underpinnings, contrasting objectives and humanitarian crises defining the current situation in Gaza. Listen for the latest on Israel’s invasion of Rafah and what happened to the proposed ceasefire deal…

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In an exploration of conflict and diplomacy, president and founder of Eurasia Group and GZERO Media Ian Bremmer joins TED’s Helen Walters to unravel the ideological underpinnings, contrasting objectives and humanitarian crises defining the current situation in Gaza. Listen for the latest on Israel’s invasion of Rafah and what happened to the proposed ceasefire deal as well as a dissection of the elusive quest for peace in a region haunted by the specter of war.

This interview was recorded on May 8, 2024 as part of the series “TED Explains the World with Ian Bremmer.” Watch more:

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#Rafah #Gaza #Israel

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85 Comments

85 Comments

  1. @aichasnaibi-sx5rt

    May 9, 2024 at 11:28 am

    You can’t hid the sun with finger

  2. @hahtos

    May 9, 2024 at 11:31 am

    Hamas wanted war, they got it

  3. @jjs982

    May 9, 2024 at 11:34 am

    The UN announced Israel on 1948 so why now every one claims we took the land from the Palastinians?

    • @The1994210

      May 9, 2024 at 11:41 am

      Been actively taking since then, not took

    • @PintoConrad

      May 9, 2024 at 11:43 am

      Yes, the same people alive in 1948 are still working for the UN today.

    • @ofirarg

      May 9, 2024 at 2:02 pm

      israel took nothing from the palestinians because “palestinian” is a flase identity arabs made up as an antithesis for jews in 1929.
      israel took BACK land from syria, and Jordan after they started a war against israel in 67.

    • @trader2137

      May 9, 2024 at 2:10 pm

      and palestinians took jewish lands 1300 years ago, whole world decided to create israel, even if not, then israel conquered these lands, so its theirs, its no longer palestinian…

    • @ofirarg

      May 9, 2024 at 2:17 pm

      @@trader2137 those were the romans. the so called “palestinians” never ruled this land.
      the romand called it “palestine” and then the british used it as a name for their colonial entity (the british mandate of palestie).
      the arabs started to call themselves “palestinians” in the 1920s to create a false claim to the land.

  4. @LailaLailaLailah

    May 9, 2024 at 11:37 am

    Thank you for the frank and measured observations. This has been very very enlightening.

  5. @Huckhaven

    May 9, 2024 at 11:43 am

    Lost me at 23:00ish

    • @eainc.708

      May 9, 2024 at 11:49 am

      Lost me around 3:00 as I’m hearing Hamas and the Israelis being framed as relatively comparable military forces. That’s a farce. Those paying attention know that this project has been about removing Palestinian people and infrastructure that would make Palestine a livable place people could return to after the unimaginable destruction and loss of civilian lives.

    • @shashanksam

      May 9, 2024 at 11:59 am

      @@eainc.708 thats exactly whats happening, Israel people asking hamas to surrender their military is like,
      a whale asking a fish to surrender.
      israel already occupied around 90% and is powerful enough to steal the remaining.
      😞😢

  6. @ihystv

    May 9, 2024 at 11:48 am

    I always find it funny how Ian pronounces Netanyahu as Nut-In-Yahoo, I love this guy

  7. @eainc.708

    May 9, 2024 at 11:51 am

    They deleted my comment. I won’t be retyping it. I already know the slant…

    • @shashanksam

      May 9, 2024 at 11:55 am

      same

    • @meanderinoranges

      May 9, 2024 at 12:15 pm

      A vote for Biden is a vote to perpetuate the government control over big tech and the first amendment.

    • @InvaderZimWorseOrBetter

      May 9, 2024 at 3:47 pm

      Omg those bastards

    • @Baraz_Red

      May 9, 2024 at 5:14 pm

      Everyday, many of my comments are blocked by Youtube, and I am a polite Canadian Human Rights activist. It is crazy.

  8. @JRguyy

    May 9, 2024 at 11:57 am

    Pleasantly surprised. Closer to fair reporting that most of the garbage we see in the media.
    Demanding that Israel just stop before meeting their security needs is ludicrous

    • @WriteInAaronBushnell

      May 9, 2024 at 6:01 pm

      What did you think was going to happen you lock 2.3 million people in a box with nothing to do but plot revenge for 20years?

  9. @meanderinoranges

    May 9, 2024 at 12:14 pm

    Biden’s foreign policy is the worst of any president in modern times. Just look at how the world fell apart in only three years.

  10. @caashiqatulquran2154

    May 9, 2024 at 12:46 pm

    Very biased talk. 🙄

    • @Nickname006

      May 9, 2024 at 6:35 pm

      No. Actually very unbiased for once. Both sides are human, you have to recognize that. This is not an easy conflict where one side is purely evil and the other purely good. This is not a story book.

  11. @caashiqatulquran2154

    May 9, 2024 at 12:49 pm

    What a horrible world we live in! very cruel world where millions of civilians are killed and yet others are providing weapons, so many more civilians can get killed. Shame on those who have no human blood 😢

    • @shashanksam

      May 9, 2024 at 1:13 pm

      true 😔

  12. @samshepperrd

    May 9, 2024 at 1:02 pm

    44:37. And then, there’s this. Duuuuhhh.

  13. @nabilaboksmati1505

    May 9, 2024 at 1:24 pm

    🙏🕊🇵🇸

    • @WriteInAaronBushnell

      May 9, 2024 at 7:37 pm

      Build a democracy from the river to the sea

  14. @asafhenig3833

    May 9, 2024 at 3:11 pm

    Why didn’t Ian and other analyst suggested US and the UK would negotiate with ISIS and not fight it. A bit of a double standard. Israel is expected to negotiate with Hamas when no one is expected the US to negotiate with ISIS.

  15. @nonsoottih7405

    May 9, 2024 at 3:26 pm

    These idiots have already wasted so many innocent lives. There is truly no benefit of war

  16. @wegder

    May 9, 2024 at 4:08 pm

    The Syrian Network for Human Rights has stated it had documented 231,108 civilian deaths and 14 million displaced between March 2011 and January 2024.[34]

  17. @loreleiohagan5411

    May 9, 2024 at 4:19 pm

    What a deeply cynical and ahistorical take. Just categorically unserious. As if the whole world isn’t watching and knowing the real story. Shame. Shame.

    • @purple7light86

      May 10, 2024 at 5:09 pm

      Exactly 💯 💯 💯 💯 💯 💯 💯 💯 💯

  18. @Baraz_Red

    May 9, 2024 at 5:06 pm

    I do not know the truth and what Hamas leaders and partisans really think but, in 2017, the official Hamas position recognized Israel would remain a State and instead advocated for the UN defined borders and rights. I am not 100% certain why Hamas attacked, but 16 years of blockade is no joke; in fact a blockade is objectively an act of war and of course it hampered the economy of Gaza (the current blockade is another story: it blocks anything).
    – a Canadian Human Rights activist / MA in International relations.

    • @IVUSER

      May 10, 2024 at 5:50 am

      If you believe Hamas and their BS, you’re more naive than a 6 year old.

  19. @0o0ification

    May 9, 2024 at 5:16 pm

    I was already under the impression that the Iranians were trying to export their internal discord, by investing in more and more regional rebel groups. However, the perspective that their foreign intervention may be overextended, and so have to pick and choose their most valued interference operations across a widening front, is definitely food for thought.

  20. @Baraz_Red

    May 9, 2024 at 5:22 pm

    Hamas is one thing … but let us please face the facts : water cut, electricity cut, complete blocking of Rafah, all civilian trade blocked (!), even humanitarian aid blocked (see UNICEF), over 200 UN employees, over 150 journalists, children beyond count, hunger/thirst, etc. I don’t care about Hamas, but I do care about gross violations of International Humanitarian Law. Look at a map of what is left of Gaza now … a small portion in the south.
    – a Canadian volunteer activist for Human Rights and International Humanitarian Law
    * I had to re-write this comment four times because Youtube blocked it !

    • @Baraz_Red

      May 9, 2024 at 5:28 pm

      I had to censor the term “Crimes against…”, and replace it with the more generic “gross violations of International Humanitarian Law”.

    • @AL-lh2ht

      May 9, 2024 at 6:42 pm

      You literally admit you don’t care about Hamas…man.

    • @Baraz_Red

      May 10, 2024 at 12:38 am

      ​@@AL-lh2ht Yes. This cause worldwide, and what the UN is saying, is not about saving Hamas. You did not know that? It is about the civilian population of Gaza, about the collective rights of Palestinians, about the Human Rights of all Palestinians and Israelis, about respecting the Geneva Conventions, ending the occupation of the West Bank for a true Palestinian State there, etc.

      – Hamas took over Gaza by force a year after the elections (after an open armed conflict with the other main political party) and there has been no elections in 16 years. That said, even if they were fully legitimate and duly elected, there does not exist any justification for gross violations of International Humanitarian Law and for destroying everything in Gaza.

  21. @WriteInAaronBushnell

    May 9, 2024 at 5:59 pm

    Israel is an armed gerrymander, and was designed to never be secure in order force it to be a subcontractor of empire

  22. @edojcl

    May 9, 2024 at 6:28 pm

    The lack of historical background is insane. The reason hamas was in control of Gaza was due to the convenience for Israel to have a terrorist counterpart. Netanyahu and likud government allowed for this situation to happen to expand the settlement policy, which ultimately backfired. But this is not addressed here, and many of the other historical key points where Israel has been responsible for this dire situation. The worst ted ever.

    • @JRguyy

      May 9, 2024 at 9:23 pm

      Yeah… Like when Israel agreed to split the land in 1948 and the Arabs tried to wipe them off the map isntead but lost. And still tries to work with people who try to wipe them away and refuse to acknowledge them….Totalllyyy Israel’s fault

    • @surayahilal7019

      May 10, 2024 at 4:41 am

      Who is the occupier? Who is the genocide state! Where is the background and history?
      And who is this Zionist!?? Ted, you have done badly with this speaker!

  23. @HappinessTheBrand

    May 9, 2024 at 8:21 pm

    This is so crazy.

  24. @purple7light86

    May 9, 2024 at 8:22 pm

    Sooooooooooooooooooooooooo biased tedtalk? Surprised but shouldn’t be

    • @MrGaky

      May 10, 2024 at 2:54 pm

      it is the most fact based talk I have ever seen, your comment is biased and it shows which side.

    • @purple7light86

      May 10, 2024 at 5:08 pm

      @@MrGaky 🤣🤣🤣

  25. @boricrazyjlg

    May 9, 2024 at 9:24 pm

    there is not going to be a ceasefire

    • @IVUSER

      May 10, 2024 at 5:55 am

      nor should there be

  26. @5ilentObserver

    May 9, 2024 at 10:25 pm

    No mention about atrocities committed before Oct 7th. This did not happen in isolation.
    No mention about all the findings and violations noted by the United Nations Security Council.
    No mention of the number of Palestinians *continuing* be killed in *Wesr Bank* and more and more illegal settlements.
    No mention of the impending ICC warrant.
    No mention of the disproportionate force being applied.

  27. @theealist_TV

    May 9, 2024 at 11:05 pm

    The US/UK/EU Governments and their War Propaganda Media want Endless Wars across the Planet! WASTING YOUR TAX MONEY for Death & Destruction, as Americans are Drowning from War Inflation and a Global Refugee Crisis at the Borders! From the Bushes, Clintons, Obama, Bernie Sanders, Trump and Biden, ALL Love Wars and War Spending! As Our Tax Money Funds Terrorists like Hamas by Netanyahu for Years, to AL Queda & ISIS to the Khalistani Terrorists against India… used to Destabilize Countries and Create Conflict that Lead to Our Invasions like in Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Somalia, Sudan, Syria, Ukraine, Yemen, Now Palestine-Israel… next up is China-Taiwan, India-Pakistan, Iran, Russia, West Africa…. All to Enrich the Elites at the Top at OUR EXPENSE, ruining the World! No Peace Ever!!!!

  28. @yaa40

    May 9, 2024 at 11:41 pm

    Well, TED, it was a nice run but it is time to wave goodbye.
    You won’t miss me, and I will not miss you.
    Presenting a single-sided, biased, political “scientist” and not contrasting it with any other opinion shows your bias.

  29. @1st1anarkissed

    May 9, 2024 at 11:49 pm

    I wish people would stop calling this genocidal massacre a “war.” You don’t think the zionists would back off if the indigenous residents did not try to defend themselves?

  30. @meticulo

    May 9, 2024 at 11:52 pm

    You should be asking hamas to surrender and give up control to UN or United states….

  31. @Zwiqy45

    May 10, 2024 at 12:07 am

    I like how they skip over the hostages as a pretense for the invasion on Rafa…

    • @LailaLailaLailah

      May 10, 2024 at 1:03 pm

      Could you elaborate? What did I miss?

  32. @babayevugar

    May 10, 2024 at 1:08 am

    The war cabinet of Israel is really treating Palestinians as human animals. Amalek as mentioned by Netanyahu. This is obvious from the fact that they keep on pushing them where they want to from one place to another.

  33. @FREE_HUMANITY

    May 10, 2024 at 1:49 am

    WTF was that ! Go and educate yourself on this before talking about this issue!!

    • @purple7light86

      May 11, 2024 at 3:36 pm

      💯💯💯💯💯💯💯💯💯💯

  34. @fpfk8703

    May 10, 2024 at 4:12 am

    NOTanyahu

  35. @surayahilal7019

    May 10, 2024 at 4:42 am

    Who is the occupier? Who is the genocide state! Where is the background and history?
    And who is this Zionist supporter ?? Ted, you have done badly with this speaker!

  36. @zaid1919

    May 10, 2024 at 6:10 am

    free Palestine , there is no isreal ,

  37. @MarkVeltzer

    May 10, 2024 at 6:38 am

    Hamas need to stop existing. Period.

  38. @clairefrancis7696

    May 10, 2024 at 7:18 am

    This is like listening to paid propaganda. I expected better from TED. Why is it that the Palestinians have to prioritise the ‘security’ of their oppressor while they are being massacred? Why is Israel, which is breaking international law and oppressing Palestinians while illegally occupying their lands, given any say over Palestinian statehood, or water, or food, or trade? It is not only Saudi using the word ‘genocide’, it is every country with a conscience.

  39. @sea_ellef

    May 10, 2024 at 7:18 am

    This is like listening to paid propaganda. I expected better from TED. Why is it that the Palestinians have to prioritise the ‘security’ of their oppressor while they are being massacred? Why is Israel, which is breaking international law and oppressing Palestinians while illegally occupying their lands, given any say over Palestinian statehood, or water, or food, or trade? It is not only Saudi using the word ‘genocide’, it is every country with a conscience.

  40. @JB-ti7bl

    May 10, 2024 at 7:33 am

    How far away is a ceasefire? It’s as far away as HAMAS releasing the hostages (or their remains). Why is that hard to understand?

  41. @lemenamaste6186

    May 10, 2024 at 10:10 am

    Very biased talk. it’s time to say Good bye TED.

  42. @squarewheel00

    May 10, 2024 at 12:31 pm

    This is a mistake. An absurd take full of misinformation from a thorough understanding of Hamas movement, to casually stating that its leadership and hostages are under Rafah (how in the world does he know?!)..

  43. @ahmedosama1457

    May 11, 2024 at 3:23 am

    Just casually saying 34000 palastinians dead …and then moving on and saying what will bring hamas to the table !!! How about condeming isreal for the killong of civilians ..how about putting accountability of the “only democracy in the middle east”

    • @michaelmoskowitz3212

      May 12, 2024 at 7:43 am

      what nation would respond differently if attacked? they are going after hamas not civilians. you should condemn violent resistance and only support peaceful resistance and coexistence if you want it to stop.

    • @spiceyfrenchtoast9421

      May 12, 2024 at 10:11 pm

      ​@@michaelmoskowitz3212US would at least see it coming

  44. @lings4111

    May 11, 2024 at 7:26 am

    How to conquer death
    U are extremely fearful of death that I can’t even mention death, then why don’t seek eternal life & permanently get rid of death by imitating Jesus because Jesus was the only one resurrected in front of the whole world=not a lie or illusion.

    Living for the moment is just a mask/bandage/lie/veil over the fear of death.
    Not mention or think of death doesn’t do anything to death=>why fool yourself.

    Refusal to seek life means u firmly & faithfully believe that u can’t do anything about death.
    =>why don’t believe in life?

    Every human is like u firmly believe in DEATH & gripped by the fear of Death, not talking of it doesn’t mean it doesn’t exist or u can run away from it.

    The reason that we are so fearful of death is because death=hell, very very bad & painful&suffering. Our fear is well founded & tattooed in our soul/heart/mind.

    Stop making the same fatal errors as those arrogant pharisees who killed Jesus made because Jesus didn’t praise & revere them.

    Seek life/God first then u will get everything: Jesus’ miracles are not his extreme hard work & practice but given by God=>God created the universe of course can give u solutions/innovations to every problem=>If all Chinese seek God, God will make China a Canaan where honey & milk flow non-stop.

    If u believe too much in your own hard work or righteousness, u will run into demise sooner or later.

    To everybody u encounter regardless rapist or saint, spread gospel to him=work for God:

    Continue to read bible & Act out Jesus’ faith/sincerity/honesty & sacrificial love for others&humility&peace&patience&kindness&mercy&forgiving&generosity&compassion & 0 covet for pleasure&money then u will end up in paradise with Jesus to enjoy infinite bliss & love forever.

    peole like to hear praises, this sound like encouragement instead of scolding=in US, if u scold me, instead of repenting, I arrogantly attack u as judging.

    Especially if u serve customers, u can save lots new men. Now work for God full time & report to God directly, I am sure more sneer/humiliation/hunger/persecution are awaiting. When working for money, every organization/business forbid mentioning of God/Jesus/truth, so I had to bite my tongue & listening to blasphemes of God, but now I can freely save everyone encountered.

    99% customers will not come back again=if u are working for God not money/self, then u shouldn’t worry it.

    Even if u are paralyzed in bed, u can work for God, use the same dedications for God as u do for yourself/money/kids/parents/etc=if a Parkinson’s patient can take care of his 90 year old mom; a workaholic can work 16 hours a day/etc, Anybody can equally dedicate himself to God by selling Eternal Life to every man:
    School bus pass by your house daily, why not put a yard sign: Act like Jesus 2 Conquer Death/Ills/Sins & Save mankind. When doctor save your body u can save doctor’s soul.

    Everything in universe is created as an employee of God, & is working for God=glorifying God’s faith/truth/mercy/peace/etc, otherwise, why create u? We are God’s dog, & should bark non-stop to wake up sleeping/dying men.

    The root cause of all evils=Identity theft/cyber attacks/etc is because we only believe in our own IQ & hardwork to protect ourselves=>is arm & technology race protecting or destroying us? Very soon all passwords can be decoded by big data & u will lose all your savings in the bank. Pledging man to give up evil for good is the only solution to all evils=working for God is a sacred&valuable job.

    If u ask me for whom that I am working for, I will excitedly answer that I am working for God who is infinitely more prestigious than Duke, as long as I don’t become Judas then I will never get fired. God’s salary+benefit is eternal life in heaven.

    No need to worry that u don’t know how to do God’s assignments=>God will tell u.

    I am experimenting whether I will live forever by making God my boss, if I really survive death, then I will come back to visit u=>Must be like Jesus & give up everything for free, if I can’t come back then I must have money/sin not giving up.

    Don’t wait for me, u can also experiment eternal life, this way u can avoid eternal death if u die before me.

    We all say that Bible was written by men & has too many versions thus don’t read it<=Star wars were written by men & have many versions of it, but u watch every version of it full-heartedly. U fertilize fruit trees in winter, summer is the time for them to give u fruit=>God has given us enough money, now is the time to yield fruit for God instead of still making money for ourselves.

  45. @DA-bt2ti

    May 11, 2024 at 8:13 am

    Am sure this dude is milionar by now 😂

  46. @cyanokid4895

    May 11, 2024 at 10:51 am

    lets just be straight to the point. Palestinian been oppressed for years and part of its district has been gifted to jews as gift. Palestinians fights for their right. Westerns yet called them terrorist eventhough right now 35000 Palestinians killed for 200+ days. World is weird and sick.

  47. @cyanokid4895

    May 11, 2024 at 10:59 am

    5:59 Your questions are so bias and weird. it sounds like blaming Hamas for 35000 Palestinians died.

    • @460mas

      May 11, 2024 at 9:47 pm

      They are

  48. @alexandrugheorghe5610

    May 11, 2024 at 1:10 pm

    Netanyahu has to go.

  49. @michaelmoskowitz3212

    May 12, 2024 at 7:41 am

    bibi was first person to call bush after 9/11. he definitely would stand in solidarity with US not blame Biden…

  50. @lumar6082

    May 12, 2024 at 8:34 am

    It’s not terrorism its resistance and it’s not a conflict it’s war and its complicated it’s simple : get out of our land period!

    • @jayshko

      May 13, 2024 at 9:39 am

      Define “our land”. Is Tel Aviv your land or just Gaza? If it’s the latter, Israel was not there Oct 6th.

    • @andrewbay8891

      May 14, 2024 at 1:03 pm

      thats right. palestinian land

  51. @cpklapper

    May 12, 2024 at 7:38 pm

    I favor a no-democracy solution with NO democratic categorization, with NO morality, and NO society. Instead, I propose a citizen stipend so that nobody is compelled to join a military out of economic duress; I propose the formation of colleges of extended families holding their land and buildings in common over generations; and I propose that the pattern described in Genesis 2 be adopted, so that the women never leave their parental households and that each man ONLY leaves his parental household to cleave to his wife’s parental household, the two becoming one flesh in their parental relations. There would be a tendency, under this pattern, for miscegenation in the populace and thus for a unity in diversity within the colleges, so that their autonomy obviates any democracy, and so that local republics can be formed, then federal unions of local republics, then federal unions of federal unions, and so on.

  52. @waeljallad671

    May 12, 2024 at 9:46 pm

    based on experience simple solutions
    Diia humanitarian distribution management system Giia app
    As you all know, government events are famous for being cool
    Administrator Samantha Power at Diia in DC
    “Imagine, and for the Americans in this room, this will unfortunately sound like a fantasy: imagine that nearly everything that you need from your government, you can get with simple taps on your phone or browser. Want to access your passport to cross the border? You want to apply for a construction permit? You want to register a new baby, or a new business? You can do all of that on Diia.

    Cool Japan
    Cool Japan has been described as a form of soft power, with the ability to “indirectly influence behavior or interests through

    Blinken speaks with Israeli defense minister on Gaza conflict
    World08:10, 13-May-2024
    CGTN
    Updated 08:32, 13-May-2024

  53. @367499149

    May 13, 2024 at 3:29 pm

    This guy represents the far left in Israel.
    The Israeli public support equvicly in the war against Hamas

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