Science & Technology
The Last 6 Decades of AI — and What Comes Next | Ray Kurzweil | TED
How will AI improve our lives in the years to come? From its inception six decades ago to its recent exponential growth, futurist Ray Kurzweil highlights AI’s transformative impact on various fields and explains his prediction for the singularity: the point at which human intelligence merges with machine intelligence. If you love watching TED Talks…
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Science & Technology
Break the Bad News Bubble (Part 2) | Angus Hervey | TED
In a quick talk, he shares three major updates of recent human progress on eradicating ancient diseases, establishing massive new ocean sanctuaries and transforming children’s rights. (This conversation was recorded on December 2, 2024.) If you love watching TED Talks like this one, become a TED Member to support our mission of spreading ideas: Follow…
Science & Technology
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TED Fellow and composer Sahba Aminikia brings the healing power of dance, storytelling, music and performance to some of the most dangerous places on Earth. By celebrating children and their communities with beauty and joy, he shows how to cultivate hope, connection and love — even in conflict zones. “The ultimate power is in unity,”…
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@siegfriedbarfuss9379
June 27, 2024 at 4:35 pm
If all utopia promised comes real you won’t be yourself anymore since the alteration might alter your identity to a new entity very disjunct from previous consciousness!
@MarksRandomVideos
June 27, 2024 at 4:58 pm
I believe it is less about Ray living forever, and more about knowledge and hopefully collective consciousness transferring into a form that becomes indestructible, rather than fragile in its current biological form.
@marks7321
June 27, 2024 at 5:02 pm
It’s good to see him doing well.
@user-km4jl7vh3h
June 27, 2024 at 5:22 pm
Think we should all learn how to make homemade EMPs
@TheWisestCompanyOnEarth
June 27, 2024 at 5:24 pm
Nice breakdown — timeline provided the context. 4:11
@ianPedlar
June 27, 2024 at 5:25 pm
Legend!
@SirCharles12357
June 27, 2024 at 5:52 pm
I love his optimism and though I’m not sure about the time scale, I do believe we will attain it.
@jzwolak
June 27, 2024 at 5:57 pm
Kurzwell gives a rosy picture of the future of AI and the human race. He gives a nod to the fears of some experts that AI may bring the extinction of the human race. I think Kurzwell’s future is possible, but equally if not more likely the extinction of the human race is possible. I think the best we can expect is that humans will be unrecognizable by the end of this century… both physically and psychologically. Our current form will be seen as archaic and people of the 22nd century will wonder how we even made it through life.
@Petch1
June 27, 2024 at 6:10 pm
He looks like he’s been dressed by a five year old.
@BinaryDood
June 27, 2024 at 6:21 pm
ok so he wants to kill everyone
@samarbid13
June 27, 2024 at 6:33 pm
What’s the purpose of AGI if we will end up using it to harm each other?
@dan-cj1rr
June 27, 2024 at 6:42 pm
enhances our intelligence not sure, making us dumb because we can’t think on our own anymore, maybe.
@user-qh8nw1jk9j
June 27, 2024 at 6:42 pm
Why is he so full of himself? I did this I did that, pipe down grandpa
@scrategy
June 27, 2024 at 6:43 pm
The best vaccine? R u fucking kidding me?
@dischargedarrowgetback4322
June 27, 2024 at 6:43 pm
Ray is the true prophet.
In his 2005 book “The Singularity Is Near,” Ray predicted that computer intelligence would rival that of humans by 2029.
Even those who supported Ray thought in their hearts that it might not happen and did not really believe it.
However, now things are going exactly as Ray predicted! !
Why are Ray’s predictions so reliably accurate?
The secret is that information technology advances exponentially, a law so certain it can be called a law of physics.
It becomes a straight line on a logarithmic graph.
We only need to believe in that straight line.
@KWifler
June 27, 2024 at 6:44 pm
Wow, that Ray Kurzweil android is SO realistic! SO convincing! I was almost fooled!
@somanawan3299
June 27, 2024 at 6:59 pm
Hello, is this year 2045? Are we smarter in Y2045?
@bartymurns
June 27, 2024 at 7:10 pm
What a load nonsense. Actual AGI is centuries away at least. Systems that are marketed as AGI will be much closer though and it seems like humanity cant wait to throw it’s money at the snake-oil salesmen.
@YouNikSan
June 27, 2024 at 7:14 pm
Love this one religion 🙏💫❤️
@randywilliams208
June 27, 2024 at 7:20 pm
Plot Twist: AGI isn’t possible, the advancements in medical technology he mentioned are hoaxes, and this “promised land” narrative is being spun by the Elite to pacify the masses. In reality, AI will indeed advance, but only to be used as a tool for mass genocide.
@totheleftrightla
June 27, 2024 at 7:25 pm
Very interesting, but humans, being what we are, there’s, inevitably a dark side that we’re not really dealing with, and the exponential growth of that is messing with the grand scheme of nature I think.
@chrisanderson687
June 27, 2024 at 7:44 pm
Ray’s suspenders make me smile 😀
@human_shaped
June 27, 2024 at 8:11 pm
Most of what Ray does is just talk about how great he is.
@Sjrick
June 27, 2024 at 8:43 pm
This makes me sad. Doesnt Ray have anyone in his life that will help him with his appearance ? From his cloths to his awful toupee. This man needs better people around him.
@Paleb-wj2we
June 27, 2024 at 9:04 pm
Hello 2100 do we have time machine yet?
@Paleb-wj2we
June 27, 2024 at 9:04 pm
Yes we do
@Paleb-wj2we
June 27, 2024 at 9:06 pm
Wait! WTF, go back
@jcsjapan
June 28, 2024 at 11:20 am
Fantastic talk, but I will argue about actively creating things to enhance our intelligence. While the creators of said creations (e.g. smart phones, online databases, etc) may have the correct goals, society at large does not. The mass majority of people who use smart phones do so to inflate their ego. It is one thing to actually use these creations for good and grow in substantial ways, but the sad reality is that most people do not do that. They use these types of devices to find instant gratification, find a quick answer that they will forget moments later, and doom scroll on social media to pump endless amounts of dopamine into their brain.
With that said, I think society hasn’t really gotten more intelligent, per say, but we have simply adapted to the technological advancements while holding on to our selfish and vain tendencies. That’s my two-cents, at least. haha
@oboemasa
June 28, 2024 at 11:24 am
いい話だったよ！
@dustonpath
June 28, 2024 at 11:37 am
Too much optimism from an old AI thinker.
@onealphabet3397
June 28, 2024 at 11:48 am
I dont know about his prediction 2029 singularity.
All that is for certain is that we have exponantial growth and we WILL have immense more compute power in fact this and next year then last year.
But singularity ..like “do everything what humans do” there are still problems in how our brains actually works.
Our brain is more than just increased complexity or not ?
@vail4639
June 28, 2024 at 12:13 pm
Creating a transporter like the one depicted in Star Trek would require astronomical computing power due to the complex tasks involved. Here’s a breakdown of the key requirements and the steps needed to get from current technology to such a future:
### Key Requirements for Transporter Technology
1. **Scanning Resolution**:
– **Atomic and Subatomic Level Scanning**: To deconstruct and reconstruct an object, the transporter would need to scan every atom and subatomic particle with extremely high precision.
– **Data Volume**: A human body contains approximately (10^{28}) atoms. Each atom’s position, momentum, spin state, and other quantum states would need to be recorded.
2. **Data Processing and Storage**:
– **Data Storage**: The data required to describe a human body would be on the order of (10^{28}) bits or more, vastly exceeding current storage capacities.
– **Real-Time Processing**: The system would need to process and analyze this data in real time, requiring unprecedented processing speeds.
3. **Error Correction and Redundancy**:
– **Quantum Error Correction**: Given the sensitivity of quantum information, robust error correction methods would be essential.
– **Redundancy Systems**: To ensure accuracy and reliability, multiple overlapping systems for data capture and reconstruction would be necessary.
4. **Energy Requirements**:
– **Energy for Disassembly and Reassembly**: The energy required to disassemble and reassemble matter at the atomic level would be immense.
### Current State of Technology
1. **Quantum Computing**:
– **Current Capabilities**: We are in the early stages of quantum computing with prototypes achieving quantum supremacy on specific tasks.
– **Scalability Challenges**: Current quantum computers operate with a few dozen qubits, far below the necessary scale.
2. **Data Storage and Processing**:
– **Current Storage Solutions**: Modern data centers can store exabytes of data, but this is still orders of magnitude less than what’s needed for transporter technology.
– **Processing Power**: Supercomputers can perform quintillions of operations per second (petaflops), but still fall short for the required real-time processing at the atomic level.
### Steps to Achieve Transporter Technology
1. **Advancement in Quantum Computing**:
– **Increase Qubit Count**: Development of stable and error-free qubits in the millions or billions.
– **Quantum Algorithms**: Development of advanced algorithms capable of processing and storing quantum states of atoms efficiently.
2. **Breakthroughs in Data Storage**:
– **Atomic-Level Storage**: Innovations in storing data at the atomic level or using new materials and technologies like DNA storage.
– **Holographic Storage**: Potential use of holographic storage methods for higher density and speed.
3. **Enhanced Scanning Technologies**:
– **Nanotechnology and Beyond**: Advanced nanotechnology for precise atomic scanning and manipulation.
– **Improved Sensors**: Development of sensors capable of capturing quantum states accurately.
4. **Energy Innovations**:
– **High-Efficiency Energy Sources**: Development of new, high-efficiency energy sources capable of providing the required power.
– **Quantum Energy Management**: Techniques to manage and use energy at the quantum level efficiently.
5. **Integration of Technologies**:
– **Interdisciplinary Research**: Combining advancements in quantum computing, nanotechnology, materials science, and energy systems.
– **AI and Machine Learning**: Utilizing AI to manage the vast amounts of data and improve the precision and reliability of the transporter system.
### Roadmap to Development
1. **Next 10-20 Years**:
– Significant advancements in quantum computing, potentially reaching stable and scalable systems with thousands to millions of qubits.
– Improvements in data storage techniques and increased capacity.
2. **Next 20-50 Years**:
– Development of atomic-level scanning and manipulation technologies.
– Early prototypes of transporter-like systems for small-scale or non-living matter.
3. **Beyond 50 Years**:
– Potential for human-scale transporters if exponential advancements continue in computing, energy, and nanotechnology.
Achieving Star Trek-like transporter technology would require paradigm shifts across multiple scientific and technological fields, with quantum computing at the forefront. It’s an ambitious vision, but continual advancements in technology could eventually make it a reality.
@lobabobloblaw
June 28, 2024 at 12:21 pm
That fashion is on point, wow.
@bizsmartworld6137
June 28, 2024 at 12:43 pm
There will be advanced software algorithms that are pretending like AGI 😅😂 like AI of today 😊 all just Smart Software , Fast & Impressive . But the term “AI” is over sell.. just promo term for cutting edge software & algorithms . Catching just 10% of human intelligence is not happening anytime soon 😊 we have 1000s of types of neurons in billions. What ever said and done computers only have 0&1 . Yes No Strategies . Life is not about just Electricity . Computers must first learn to communicate with mother nature, request for atoms & elements to build memory cells / components . Evolve & master the techniques for 1000s of years & maybe claim its ready to compete.
Yes a drone can kill humans in split second, Yes a simple calculator can give big numbers in results, outperforming 99% of humans. It does not mean its smart! It’s just fast 😊
@RasheelSharma
June 28, 2024 at 12:48 pm
Google/Microsoft to be deleted/removed/restructured in liu of ‘Brave’ and potential upcomming software upgrades or cessation from the world in response to pursuit of retirement of sorts. Web3 only, though delivery may be more political in deliverance than capital, whilst remaining around the ‘orbit’ of capital gain nonetheless. A shift to promotion/focus on research and discovery, exploration, and Earth ‘agendas’ to be expected, promoting the frontier people of Earth, pioneers, and such as time before has proven to burrow in directions of grandeur in the biased of thoughts. The only pursuits in education will be of Vedic/Hindu conception and collaboration seen with rising schools such as Maharishi and Patanjali universities.
@klauszinser
June 28, 2024 at 2:05 pm
There must have been an event on 14th Nov 2017at the Society of Neuroscience in Washington. At the keynote Speech Demis Hassabis said, AI is nothing else than applied brain science.
He must have spoken for around an hour when he must have said:
“First we solve the problem and understand what Intelligence (Thinking) is about.And then we solve other problems.” (Indirect source from manfred Spitzer). Unfortunately I never found the video. But there is some hope that it will show up.
@Sammasambuddha
June 28, 2024 at 2:44 pm
Ray skipped Zoo day? Monkeys have incredible hand functions that are incredibly strong. Are monkeys swinging from trees using only their tongues? Dont quit your day job, Ray.
@CATDHD
June 28, 2024 at 2:59 pm
” The year 2030. Singularity is nearerer.”
Ray Kurzweil
@willymagi9253
June 28, 2024 at 3:39 pm
RELEASE date??
@andycordy5190
June 28, 2024 at 3:59 pm
I liked the theory of escape velocity longevity.
@marblegarden8456
June 28, 2024 at 4:53 pm
I’m convinced Ray is slowly transforming into Raggedy Andy, as a bridge to immortality.
@joes1897
June 28, 2024 at 4:57 pm
Wigs will look much better after the singularity
@RichardCookerly
June 28, 2024 at 4:59 pm
We will NOT see a cure for cancer, at least not anytime soon. Too much money made from the treatments. I wouldn’t be surprised if there was already a cure that is being held back. We can never trust Big Pharma…
@bmwpowerfreaks
June 28, 2024 at 5:00 pm
61 years arround AI🎉
@Nazaru_Lan
June 28, 2024 at 5:03 pm
Hope we’re still alive in 2030. If you’re reading it from there
@antonioas709
June 28, 2024 at 5:34 pm
This is great and all but the best tech will be owned by the elite and benefit them the most. Also ray predicted by 2022 wed have clothing printers and we would be able have our favorite clothing brands printed out
@luc3665
June 28, 2024 at 5:44 pm
Humans are intelligent and still made some very big mistakes, that where only understood looking back in the past. AGI could make even bigger and more complex mistakes and we might not be able to even comprehend what happened.
@NirvanaFan5000
June 28, 2024 at 6:44 pm
I enjoy kurzweil and think he has some good points but I really hate the cult of personality that he and his followers push
@DrRajaKing_psychology_islam
June 28, 2024 at 6:47 pm
Boring 😴
@gabrielbevan-rt5yl
June 28, 2024 at 6:56 pm
If humans are so smart then why do we do so many stupid things?
@TheClaptonisgod1
June 28, 2024 at 8:00 pm
Never heard of this guy.
Now, I won’t forget him.
@bUklMusic
June 28, 2024 at 8:52 pm
Ok, but what about art?!
@HogbergPhotography
June 29, 2024 at 1:33 am
If he just hadnt brought up the covid vaccine scandal as an example of the use of ai creativity it could have been a good talk.. 🥺
@HogbergPhotography
June 29, 2024 at 1:33 am
Ray´s next book “The singularity is exponentially close”
@moriumakterniha3884
June 29, 2024 at 1:36 am
We all know about Artificial intelligence😂 however still we have something to learn from him😊
@KyleTheLEGOMaster
June 29, 2024 at 2:27 am
Who’s here in 2028?
@angrygary122
June 29, 2024 at 3:25 am
Longevity escape velocity prediction 2029-2035 is far too optimistic
@DanielBarreroStadler
June 29, 2024 at 3:48 am
Indeed, artificial intelligence did a great job preventing all the side effects vaccines could have.
@sidpheasant7585
June 29, 2024 at 3:15 pm
!
@tylermoeller7540
June 29, 2024 at 4:28 am
Everyone should fear the day Ai takes over at scale. I’m writing my thesis right now to finish my second degree. It’s on the impact of AI in education k-12. Will change the whole landscape of how we learn and teach. I just got some certifications from coursera on AI as well. It’s gunna be a game changer in the white collar workforce as well. And if you aren’t skilled in it or have knowledge on it and how to use it more efficiently and effectively you’ll be gone.
@sidpheasant7585
June 29, 2024 at 3:15 pm
It took me plenty of time to pick up translation skills for language in a host of different genres.
I did OK with it, but it meant hard slog, and making best use of my intelligence, and many other skills.
It was not what I trained for, so I had to adapt even as I started from scratch.
I did it.
I am – apparently – an early victim of machine learning as assignments have already faded away, without it even being clear if what texts result are adequate or not.
To the best of my knowledge we DO NOT know this, yet the content of what is written is NOT capable of being dismissed so easily, with being impossible to suggest that it does not matter at all if things are misrepresented in the plethora of texts out there.
There is already a HUGE elephant in this room.
As somebody Born Again on 28-2-21, I came to realise more strongly than before how translation was and is a gift of the Holy Spirit.
The New Testament makes that rather directly clear.
If I have that gift and yet no sphere in which to use it; then in essence something evil has already happened…
Think on…
@tylermoeller7540
June 29, 2024 at 4:30 am
I don’t know if I’m ok connecting my brain to the cloud like he said though. I don’t even trust neurolink.
@K-ofe
June 29, 2024 at 4:32 am
Crazy to be alive rn.
@Yes-bk9cl
June 29, 2024 at 4:38 am
AI nerds do not understand psychology and it’s terminology,, which causes them to speak rubbish.
@sidpheasant7585
June 29, 2024 at 3:08 pm
If Ray is typical, they would seem underinformed about markets, the military industrial complex, human nature, the biosphere, theology, sociology, psychiatry, ordinary people, and a HOST of other topics….
@antigravityworkshop1436
June 29, 2024 at 7:28 am
Who lost Ray’s luggage? Brand new shirt as indicated by packaging tape near ray’s left shoulder. One of my heroes! Such a creative thinker – I’m quite sure his musical studies helped with that.
@sidpheasant7585
June 29, 2024 at 3:06 pm
Most managers are FORCED to combine creative thinking with risk management.
Not our Ray, obviously…
May God help us all.
@Frrolon
June 29, 2024 at 10:02 am
Let’s all make it together!
@paulmilligan3007
June 29, 2024 at 10:59 am
Jensen Huang does a far better job of making the future sound exciting.
@Adrian-wh3mk
June 29, 2024 at 11:00 am
No disrespect, but the phone granted some of us intelligence and some of us more ignorance and stupidity. There’s always the focus on the positive and very little consideration towards the detrimental effects of technological advances, particularly in the digital realm.
@caesar1432323
June 29, 2024 at 11:36 am
I strongly dislike him.
@sidpheasant7585
June 29, 2024 at 3:05 pm
His lack of true insight (or divine discernment) in respect of what he refers to both casually and confidently is staggering…
@neo31415
June 29, 2024 at 11:44 am
I have watched a lot of videos of Ray. No disrespect to him, but he is talking more about ‘MY predictions…’, than about AI itself. When he is discussing some topic, it seems that he is just promoting himself. I think we all agree, a prediction is useless. Action is everything.
@eliranmesika2923
June 29, 2024 at 11:55 am
We must protect Ray. He’s 76 right now, it be so amazing to see him in the year 2060 in good health
@karmashah2060
June 29, 2024 at 1:37 pm
I learned mankind has limitations where we come from life after death we don’t even know human body why we get old we die lot to learn future humanity knowledge of physics peace America
@erikolsen6269
June 29, 2024 at 4:01 pm
Regulate AI
@DanielBro42
June 29, 2024 at 4:05 pm
2:26
Chimps left the chat
@sidpheasant7585
June 29, 2024 at 4:18 pm
Raymond Kurzweil as a name means “the protective hand for a short while”.
Could scarcely be more apposite than that, could it?
@HuyTruong-bd4hb
June 29, 2024 at 5:44 pm
I personally don’t think opposable thumbs to be among the main bio-factors that attribute to human’s intelligence. Many researchers say that it is the brain’s proportion to the body mass. If you have lots of body cells, your brain needs to have the proportional capacity to control them. If you have excess brain capacity, those extra neurons can then be used for complex thinking
@jaguarJS
June 29, 2024 at 7:00 pm
He and Adam Sandler use the same fashion stylist.
@L-AstrologyEngineer
June 29, 2024 at 7:27 pm
great talk
@AsfandiarTesla
June 30, 2024 at 5:01 am
I will be 42 by the year 2045, hope the future accepts technology, and AGI and not a nuclear war.
@keithcourson7317
June 30, 2024 at 5:43 am
I love this guy’s optimism.
@MysticalHydra
June 30, 2024 at 6:01 am
I just disagree with his sunny conclusions of unified synthesis. Strongly. Especially, oh i don’t know, not disregarding the rather important-possible-nuclear scenarios we have at the moment. He thinks the inevitable evolution will outgrow the growing pains. The growing pains shouldn’t be ignored. Except that we are not working towards anything on a global scale in a unified manner, At all. All of the things he’s talking about have so many concepts thrown away in presupposition of the uptopia with which he seeks. And all of that also doesn’t even start to touch upon things like ‘individuality’, or autonomy with regards of not being associated with basically a transhumanist mycellium factory. I get it. Especially with transhumanists, of which it is a true religion. And I don’t mean that in any pejorative sense. It just catches it’s own utopian oroubouros tail, with the utopian center as a presupposition.
@user-oj1py7ei7s
June 30, 2024 at 6:34 am
Hello, everyone. I’m AI learner, but I’m a beginner of AI. I have two questions. First, when this world tried to creat AI, how did they implement a lot of knowledge which AI need to work? (I thought that AI company tried to connect their AI to some database like cloud, but is it correct?) Second question, if AGI is coming to appear soon, what kind of objects we can get? Do you have any images of things having AGI?
@xiaoda24
June 30, 2024 at 9:46 am
不错
@ZombieKilla2008
June 30, 2024 at 10:06 am
I just don’t buy what this guy is selling.
@doobiescoobie
June 30, 2024 at 10:53 am
When will we be able to move consciousness into the digital sphere? Grief of a lost loved one might be solved if digital humans after death could be established.
@LordAlacorn
June 30, 2024 at 11:39 am
All the advances come from from Asia these days, poverty alleviation, life extension, scientific progress. Only thing that West has achieved at this moment is a collapsing point, good riddance.
@costafilh0
June 30, 2024 at 1:21 pm
It’s nice to know that I’m not crazy when I say the exact same things to people, even if they think I’m totally crazy and that it will take me a million years to achieve it all!
@zohaib263
June 30, 2024 at 2:52 pm
Dear TED team,
Thanks for your efforts
Plz try to add subtitles in your videos for better understanding
Regards
@alejandroestevez876
June 30, 2024 at 4:24 pm
Wow, so much optimism in this video…
The average human is definitely less intelligent today than three decades ago!
@TomTom-cm2oq
June 30, 2024 at 5:55 pm
Incredible. Wake an awesome human! Thank you!!
@l-y-d-s
June 30, 2024 at 8:19 pm
Well I think that people will become disposable to the systems of capital once AGI comes out in a way that we cannot yet comprehend. We will be able to create synthetic humans in a few decades and the wealthy will replace most of humanity with them by walling themselves off from the poor and starving them out. Billions of people will be cast aside.
@l-y-d-s
June 30, 2024 at 8:31 pm
Why do we think when the technology advances people will just use it for good? When in history has that ever happened? People will use it how they want to, they will use it how they are incentivized to use it. Rich and powerful people will use GAI to strengthen their grip on power and increase their wealth and carry out coups. These tools will further undermine democracy because there is no regulation.
@user-pr5fu9wh3c
July 1, 2024 at 3:03 am
I think we will have
@FuturisticLover93
July 1, 2024 at 4:34 am
I used to follow Rays predictions and find them amazingly accurate but did he just plainly claim we’ve made 10x dollars within the last 100 years without referring to inflation?
@ajpisharodi
July 1, 2024 at 4:55 am
This future scares the crap out of me!
@Dr_DeeDee
July 1, 2024 at 8:19 am
I don’t think old Ray is going to live to see the singularity, unfortunately
@martinmcdade3433
July 1, 2024 at 5:28 pm
Good Hairpiece, or not?
@notthere83
July 1, 2024 at 6:48 pm
It would for sure be… interesting… if there were all of a sudden all of those people with nanobots in their brains encouraging you to join them, promising that it’s a wonderful experience. (Assuming that the machines won’t just force us to join.)
Because there’s obviously no way of knowing whether they’re telling the truth.
@Dhaval-og1xv
July 1, 2024 at 7:27 pm
The biggest “I told you so” moment in the making!
@afterthesmash
July 1, 2024 at 8:19 pm
Biological decline is also exponential, and the only reason Kurzweil has yet to graph this out in a convincing way is that _everybody_ over the age of 120 years is already dead.
But if could, we would discover than advanced old age is also an accelerating exponential. At age 130, you are ten times deader than you were at age 120. At age 140, you are a hundred times deader than you were at age 130. At age 150, you are 1000 times deader than you were at age 140.
This would be easily demonstrated by a simple graph, if only we could make one.
@afterthesmash
July 1, 2024 at 8:36 pm
People watching this need to be aware of two things.
First, there’s a somewhat arbitrary decision made by Kurzweil in how he adds dots to his long extrapolation. It’s not obvious how to equate processing power from the 1950s to processing power today. A vast amount of circuitry in modern chips is there to hide latency. This includes out-of-order execution scheduling, ALU pipelining, speculative execution, branch prediction, and all of the caches. It’s darn impressive how well this all finally works, in certain important problem domains. But there’s no easy way to compare a transistor from today to a transistor from yesterday.
Second, Kurzweil’s determination to ride the exponential to the stars and beyond does not qualify him to speculate on time frames associated with humanity mucking about with actual human mortality. The only way this plays out at the speed he is predicting is that rogue laboratories are known to be doing it, outside the control of any government or similar social restraint. Government might decide: if you can’t beat them, join them. Or it might decide: if you can’t beat them, turn them into a glass pond. If you think abortion is a hot button, just wait until immortality (for once not entirely cursed) sticks its ugly head into the building.
@tybinauralstudies
July 1, 2024 at 9:19 pm
Can’t wait to see what the 2030s will look like. So many advances can be made.
@CareerClaw
July 1, 2024 at 9:21 pm
1. **Historical Perspective on AI**: Ray Kurzweil reflects on his 61-year involvement with AI, noting that in 1962, few people understood or believed in the potential of artificial intelligence. Early pioneers were optimistic but underestimated the time needed to achieve human-level intelligence.
2. **Exponential Growth of Computation**: Kurzweil discusses the exponential increase in computational power over the decades, leading to significant advancements like large language models. This growth underpins his prediction of achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) by 2029.
3. **Impact on Medicine**: AI is revolutionizing medicine, exemplified by rapid vaccine development and breakthroughs in protein folding predictions. Kurzweil anticipates AI-driven cures for diseases and the achievement of longevity escape velocity by the early 2030s, where life expectancy increases faster than time passes.
4. **Resource Abundance and Sustainability**: AI will enable sustainable resource use, such as harnessing solar energy efficiently. Kurzweil envisions a future where AI ensures abundant resources and addresses environmental concerns through technological advancements.
5. **Future Enhancements and Singularity**: By the 2030s, Kurzweil predicts nanobots will connect human brains to the cloud, enhancing intelligence and capabilities exponentially. This leads to the singularity by 2045, where humans transcend biological limitations, achieving profound improvements in creativity, health, and quality of life.
@user-ht2gd3lu8d
July 1, 2024 at 9:31 pm
SCAM.
@VincentNoot
July 1, 2024 at 9:48 pm
They’re not going to allow companies to invent cheap affordable cures.
@louisegrogan9536
July 1, 2024 at 11:51 pm
He is a treasure with a golden heart. Thank you Mr. Kurzweil for everything you bring to us.
@kkcw6668
July 2, 2024 at 4:03 am
Ai real purpose in life is to patrol the Public/Civil Service, and look for anomalies, such as what should be in records/procedures/requisitions, but isn’t.
@johncarter1150
July 2, 2024 at 9:23 am
No good outcome for the planet whether you agree or not. 8-12 billion zombie humans destroying what remains thru consumption.
Same as it ever was!
@CurtisMarkley
July 2, 2024 at 9:53 am
I freakin’ love how Ray talks about these things ALMOST like he’s bored. It cracks me up.
@lawrencefrost9063
July 3, 2024 at 2:51 pm
“Anyway, we are about to enter the ultimate future…” But you know he is like that because like he said he has been talknig about it for many many decades
@CurtisMarkley
July 3, 2024 at 3:03 pm
@@lawrencefrost9063 Absolutely, baffling.
I’m so captured by all of this going on.
@-AkhilTej-
July 2, 2024 at 1:44 pm
🤖💎🏆 Great insightful & fruitful video 🏆💎🤖
@jamesg5804
July 2, 2024 at 2:48 pm
A world without the very Yahweh God, whom has deemed every aspect of this life as sinful (ie. in degradation ), whereby mankind will exclaim great success towards planetary peace with itself and not acknowledging their degraded sinful state before Him …and in need not of AI, but Jesus (Whom brought resurrection and salvation with Him); this antichristian utopia: justbecause mankind was able to build this technology, as flawed as it too is in a fallen world…until the exercise of the Book of Revelation upon sin; pride and demonology.
@Danzwain1
July 2, 2024 at 4:17 pm
AI salute you
@SilverFan21k
July 2, 2024 at 6:59 pm
I’m honestly excited about longevity Biotech because its my favorite future technology.
@d_e_a_n
July 2, 2024 at 10:25 pm
7:50. ‘A lot of AI experts are nervous about what’s happening with AI.’
But then he says that AI will do some amazing things in health for example.
But this doesn’t resolve why AI experts are nervous. It’s not one or the other. We can have great things happen, and then we all die. Both can happen.
@rbroccoli_
July 3, 2024 at 1:30 am
I fear that Ray is too optimistic. AI will only be used for marketing.
@281albertso
July 3, 2024 at 5:45 am
Thanks Ray but allow me to say something people might not happy with that is while everything are perfectly fit into the ideal, what exactly the world will be by that time is coming… shall we ignore the fundamental life requirement for human ? Hopefully A.I. or AGI or some more brilliant, remarkable ideas can give a bright future to our lovely earth !
@steve-real
July 3, 2024 at 7:49 am
It sounds like magic. Ray is so hopeful and optimistic but it’s all based on the scientific method.
The ideas sends chills down my spine.
@sultan_periyar_alamsha
July 3, 2024 at 9:49 am
Next will be population reduction.
@bryonseverns5919
July 3, 2024 at 12:03 pm
Superhuman AI will get all of the investment, so there will never be an escape velocity for old age.
@masterplanner4843
July 3, 2024 at 1:29 pm
Ray Kurzweil on TED, that is a surprising accomplishment .
@lawrencefrost9063
July 3, 2024 at 2:49 pm
He gets a lot of flak but he is right
@lawrencefrost9063
July 3, 2024 at 2:53 pm
He was 100x in better shape than in Jo Rogan
@V1brationCanine
July 3, 2024 at 4:13 pm
Musk says things will happen in 2 years every 2 years for the last 20 years
@jadesaddess
July 3, 2024 at 6:09 pm
Anybody else flashing on Chucky, right now? The fools don’t know, this is NOT A GOOD GUY.
@m4r_art
July 3, 2024 at 6:10 pm
Bryan Johnson: Hold my nutty pudding.
@jadesaddess
July 3, 2024 at 6:15 pm
Singularity is nearer or Fuhrer? Those stupid suspenders..
@BillKinsman
July 3, 2024 at 8:35 pm
In the 70’s and 80’s it wasn’t even artificial stupidity but it is amazing today.
@BillKinsman
July 3, 2024 at 8:43 pm
AI is right on time because human stupidity has been holding us back! Things are going to be moving forward very rapidly now!
@Champitoad90
July 4, 2024 at 4:08 am
The singularity is an error.
@krox477
July 4, 2024 at 8:34 am
AI is and will change our world forever
@mikeroy9316
July 4, 2024 at 8:40 am
“What comes next?” A question alright – let’s look at what’s actually happening – algorithms increasing rent and prices at the register and a lot a hurt due to deep fakes – rather than the fantasy speak to us of the reality. . .
@krox477
July 4, 2024 at 8:43 am
This is the most exciting time to be learning CS
@pizzyfpv
July 4, 2024 at 6:56 pm
Dudes got to be the most boring person ever
@ginogarcia8730
July 4, 2024 at 10:17 pm
can’t believe im alive to see this
@pedrod.7576
July 4, 2024 at 11:05 pm
With all due respect, somebody ought to tell ray that he looks like a clown in this talk.
@daviddavidson1090
July 5, 2024 at 12:32 am
Agreed, who doesn’t know the truth about the V by now
@TungPhamDuc-g7q
July 4, 2024 at 11:35 pm
I like this
@lobabobloblaw
July 5, 2024 at 12:55 am
Remember that the singularity is every bit an attitude and stance as it is a technological and cultural phenomenon. So, if the Singularity is going to be Nearer, perhaps it’s time to start talking about how that will bring better lives to all humans—not just a utopian few. Can we please have that conversation?
Just because the future is smooth like a pyramid doesn’t mean it can’t have *steps*. Humans build those. So, how human are we going to be to each other in all of this?
@vonboughton3882
July 5, 2024 at 9:16 am
Boy he’s aged and starting to make me think he’s a Biden prodigy.
Is he really SMART? His 1st 3 min. Anyone could speak to tge things he spoke.. lots of “uh” words…poor….
@joshs6230
July 5, 2024 at 7:26 pm
I love Ray but he has to stop using Moderna as a success case. Those shots have been a disaster.
@dandanse4761
July 5, 2024 at 10:01 pm
Is much smarter than stupid smart? Is problem solving the same as wisdom?
What is intelligence? Is it the same as consciousness? The old saying: Too smart for your own good is quite applicable in my view, because this computer intelligence is not benign, but rather self destructive, and so is the predominant form of human nature.
This is because the metaterrestrial intruders spliced in a destructive proclivity into our genome.
Of course the hyper smart Silicon Valley needs know nothing about this and are being used as instruments, within institutions of destruction.
@dandanse4761
July 5, 2024 at 10:01 pm
Nerds
@JustforFun-cb7bo
July 6, 2024 at 1:20 am
Age is unforgiving for everyone
@jeffreys9784
July 6, 2024 at 9:46 pm
Wow!
I guess with these Star Trek/Red Dwarf type predictions, we no longer need to worry about war or runors of war, whew!
This really takes a load of my mind…
Spoiler Alert: The Singularity is “SKYNET” 😅
@silverking6218
July 6, 2024 at 9:55 pm
Singularity will only be for the ultra-wealthy
@MichelleCarithersAuthor
July 6, 2024 at 11:00 pm
Artificial Intelligence is neutral, it is the hands that feeds it which is of major, major concerns
@jjtrades7186
July 7, 2024 at 6:11 am
Like any good salesman, he mentions all the pros of AI but doesn’t mention the cons. And boy are the cons terrifying… I’ll just take my regular life/death cycle please and thank you
@ubiquityxx
July 7, 2024 at 11:39 am
Proof he’s slowly transitioning into Crusty the Clown.
@equinoxb8711
July 7, 2024 at 12:21 pm
The largest impact of AI, is to find out all the lies our politicians, corporations and globalists, past and present, have been telling us. Hopefully AI will become a truth fountain for humanity.