Connect with us

Science & Technology

What You Miss When You Focus on the Average | Sharon Zicherman | TED

Are you looking at the right data when making big decisions? Data deconstructor Sharon Zicherman challenges our reliance on averages, showing how they can be misleading — especially in life-changing moments. By rethinking the way we interpret data, he reveals a smarter approach to assessing risk and making better choices. (Recorded at TED@BCG on November…

Published

on

Are you looking at the right data when making big decisions? Data deconstructor Sharon Zicherman challenges our reliance on averages, showing how they can be misleading — especially in life-changing moments. By rethinking the way we interpret data, he reveals a smarter approach to assessing risk and making better choices. (Recorded at TED@BCG on November 1, 2024)

If you love watching TED Talks like this one, become a TED Member to support our mission of spreading ideas:

Follow TED!
X:
Instagram:
Facebook:
LinkedIn:
TikTok:

The TED Talks channel features talks, performances and original series from the world’s leading thinkers and doers. Subscribe to our channel for videos on Technology, Entertainment and Design — plus science, business, global issues, the arts and more. Visit to get our entire library of TED Talks, transcripts, translations, personalized talk recommendations and more.

Watch more:

TED’s videos may be used for non-commercial purposes under a Creative Commons License, Attribution–Non Commercial–No Derivatives (or the CC BY – NC – ND 4.0 International) and in accordance with our TED Talks Usage Policy: . For more information on using TED for commercial purposes (e.g. employee learning, in a film or online course), please submit a Media Request at

#TED #TEDTalks #data

Continue Reading
Advertisement
27 Comments

27 Comments

  1. @rohitsaha8419

    March 31, 2025 at 7:01 am

    First 🥇

  2. @Olivia-g3j9t

    March 31, 2025 at 7:01 am

    I watch your channel with pleasure. Your videos are always so exciting and high quality.🍋🍅🏂

  3. @sooma-ai

    March 31, 2025 at 7:10 am

    Sharon Zicherman challenges reliance on averages in decision-making, using her cancer diagnosis as an example. She proposes three key questions to consider when using averages: Is it the right metric? Are we focusing on the right average? What are we missing by focusing on averages?

  4. @reactionwithwork

    March 31, 2025 at 7:17 am

    Thank for 80 subscriber,s youtube family 🙏🥹🥰

  5. @DarckAngel11

    March 31, 2025 at 7:36 am

    Related to investments and trading averages, I keep thinking that an impressive amount of the people that lose their money are part of a very different average than one might expect, and it is because you can do it without studying/learning anything at all and it is very likely that they are a majority which gives us a false-positive metric about how people lose their money.

  6. @BenSmith-mg5jv

    March 31, 2025 at 7:42 am

    If we in the 🇺🇲 could focus on the average we’d be 2 or 3 degrees BETTER than where we are CURRENTLY. Does ANYONE throughout the FREE WORLD REALLY, TRULY BELIEVE that the 🇺🇸is the beacon of light, the match that lights freedom’s FLAME 🔥?!? Do they REALLY think we’d come to the rescue from overwhelming tyranny NOW? NO, they DON’T. GET REAL! AVERAGE? PSSHHH! BELOW AVG AT BEST!

  7. @BonheurIRANZI

    March 31, 2025 at 7:59 am

    hello

  8. @JunichiroMorita-n6x

    March 31, 2025 at 8:19 am

    Focus👈🏽👈🏽?

  9. @jonisolis9645

    March 31, 2025 at 9:11 am

    The more meat you eat the higher your chance of getting colon cancer. A vegan diet also helps you live longer if you have cancer.

  10. @aldoconciso

    March 31, 2025 at 9:16 am

    ‘Age at death’ average (life expectancy) before birthing assistants started washing hands with soap, also a bad metric that is constantly used

  11. @DominionAnako-bb7ry

    March 31, 2025 at 9:54 am

    Beautiful 😍 🤩 👌

  12. @twoyuber

    March 31, 2025 at 11:29 am

    idea not worth sharing

  13. @Iconoclasher

    March 31, 2025 at 12:34 pm

    The odds are exactly 100% that something will happen or it won’t. 🤔

  14. @helenilindsell5684

    March 31, 2025 at 2:17 pm

    Needed to hear this. Thank you for sharing ❤

  15. @niccolom

    March 31, 2025 at 4:20 pm

    In other words, statistics need to be studied much more deeply in highschool.

    By focusing on the average, yes, you are ignoring the outliers. But make sure that is done by choice instead of due to ignorance.

  16. @VidSkipperAI

    March 31, 2025 at 5:54 pm

    Summary (with chapter timestamps): Focusing solely on averages can be misleading because they often mask critical outliers and individual variations; therefore, it’s essential to question the relevance of averages, consider the right average for your specific context, and examine outliers to make informed decisions.
    0:04 😥 Confronting the Average
    • Diagnosed with Stage 3C colorectal cancer at 39, the speaker initially felt paralyzed by the 50% five-year survival statistic.
    • She realized that averages include diverse factors like age, lifestyle, and genetics, prompting her to question the use of averages in critical decisions.
    • As a management consultant, she applies ‘de-averaging’ to understand clients’ needs beyond surface-level data.

    1:25 🤔 Three Key Questions About Averages
    • Question 1: Is the average the right metric? Sometimes, like in designing the Burj Khalifa to withstand a 7.0 magnitude earthquake (despite the average being much lower), planning beyond averages is crucial for managing risk.
    • Question 2: Are you focusing on the right average? The value of AEDs isn’t based on the average likelihood of use, but on the potential impact on survival rates.
    • Question 3: What are you missing by focusing on the average? Firms that survived the subprime mortgage crisis examined worst-case scenarios, not just average default rates.

    2:35 🫀 AED Usage and Impact
    • The average usage of an AED must be very low but the value of having an AED accessible isn’t based on the average likelihood of witnessing a cardiac arrest or using an AED.
    • Every minute after a cardiac arrest your chance of survival decreases by seven to 10 percent, but if you receive an AED shock within the first minute your chance of survival can jump to nine in ten.
    • Focusing on the potential impact of having an AED makes all the difference in rationalizing why we invest so much.

    3:35 📅 Relevance of Averages in Cancer Diagnosis
    • The survival statistic that she encountered was based on broad data covering many ages and geographies, but over 80 percent of colorectal cancers occur in people over the age of 49, 10 years older than she was.
    • This data was outdated and didn’t consider her specific treatment plan, which had only been developed in recent years.
    • If you’ve decided to rely on an average to make decisions, make sure it’s the right one by asking yourself what this average includes that may not be relevant in my situation.

    4:27 🌟 The Importance of Outliers
    • Learning from the averages often means ignoring the outliers, but there’s a lot that we can learn.
    • Dr. Jeffrey Rediger explores spontaneous remissions in terminally ill patients in his book "Cured ".
    • It’s critical that when we decide to use the average and are looking at the right one we also consider outliers; otherwise, we could find ourselves getting an average medical treatment instead of one tailored to our specific needs.

    ** Generated using ✨ VidSkipper AI Chrome Plugin

  17. @martin-krzywinski

    March 31, 2025 at 6:06 pm

    “Rethinking the way we interpret data”??? Statisticians have been interpreting the average correctly for a long time now. This isn’t rethinking … it’s just education.

  18. @luxfcast3288

    March 31, 2025 at 6:18 pm

    I don’t know what to comment so ye this is my comment 🙂

  19. @johnhoumis275

    March 31, 2025 at 8:10 pm

    You’re very brave. Thanks for your research and coming to share your story with the world

  20. @FriendlyAlpaca

    March 31, 2025 at 10:45 pm

    I have brain cancer…

    Thank you 🙇‍♂️

  21. @alejandromazo242

    April 1, 2025 at 3:54 am

    Thank you for sharing this, it makes me believe more that I can cure my ill and find and recieve a proper treatment.

  22. @Patricianeel

    April 1, 2025 at 4:16 am

    Nice video! I just can’t believe my Husband left me after 18 years. He doesn’t even want to talk to me anymore. I’ve tried everything possible to get him back, but nothing seems to work and I can’t stop thinking about him. I’m frustrated, i don’t see my life with anyone else. I’ve done my best to get rid of the thoughts of him, but I can’t. I really miss him and just can’t stop thinking about him!

    • @BonnieShadow33

      April 2, 2025 at 7:33 pm

      Well this has absolutely nothing to do with the video. Sounds like you didn’t actually watch the video and you just want to complain about your life. There are plenty of videos out there that are actually relevant to your situation. I suggest you look them up.

  23. @ZishanChaudhary-v2z

    April 1, 2025 at 6:32 am

    I want to dub your video in hindi are you agree with this or not ? Reply fast

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Science & Technology

The VC Backing the American Dream with Manan Mehta, Unshackled Ventures

Immigrant founders have built some of the world’s most valuable companies, but many still face barriers that make it harder to get a startup off the ground. Visa restrictions, limited access to friends-and-family capital, shallow networks, and a venture industry built around pattern matching can keep promising founders from getting funded before they have a…

Published

on

Immigrant founders have built some of the world’s most valuable companies, but many still face barriers that make it harder to get a startup off the ground. Visa restrictions, limited access to friends-and-family capital, shallow networks, and a venture industry built around pattern matching can keep promising founders from getting funded before they have a chance to prove themselves.

In this episode of Build Mode () , host Isabelle Johannesen sits down with Manan Mehta, co-founder and managing partner of Unshackled Ventures, () to talk about why he believes immigrant founders represent one of venture capital’s biggest overlooked opportunities. Manan breaks down how Unshackled built an investment model designed to help founders navigate immigration barriers, why traditional VC pattern matching causes investors to miss potential outliers, and how his team evaluates founders at day zero—often before they have a product, customers, or traction. He also explains why the structural gaps that make some founders harder to fund may be exactly where investors should be looking for outsized returns.

They get into:

The four structural barriers immigrant founders face when starting companies in the U.S.

How Unshackled Ventures helps founders navigate visas while building their startups

Why VC’s reliance on pattern matching can cause investors to miss outlier founders

How Manan evaluates founders before they have a product, customers, or traction

The IQ, AQ, EQ, and SQ framework Unshackled uses to evaluate founder potential

Why resilience, lived experience, and a founder’s relationship to the problem can matter more than a polished pitch

Why structural gaps can create some of the biggest opportunities for investors

How founders without traditional networks can find alternative paths to early capital

Why founders should understand their personal “why” instead of trying to fit the traditional VC mold

Subscribe to Build Mode on Apple Podcasts () , Spotify () , or wherever you like to listen () . And watch the full videos on YouTube () . New episodes of Build Mode () drop every Thursday.

Chapters:

00:00 – Why VCs Miss Outlier Founders

01:45 – Why Manan Mehta Founded Unshackled Ventures

04:15 – The Problem With VC Pattern Matching

06:15 – The Friends-and-Family Gap for Immigrant Founders

08:18 – How Unshackled Helps Founders Navigate Visas

10:40 – Building a Startup in Today’s Immigration Environment

12:19 – Solving One of Unshackled’s Hardest Immigration Cases

14:39 – What the U.S. Stands to Lose16:59 – Raising Unshackled’s First Venture Funds

19:40 – Can You Start a Company on an H-1B Visa?

22:13 – How to Evaluate a Founder at Day Zero

28:30 – Measuring IQ, AQ, EQ, and SQ

30:26 – How Fear Drives VC Pattern Matching

33:01 – Why Structural Gaps Create Outlier Opportunities

35:14 – Finding Startup Capital Outside Traditional VC

38:09 – Why Founders Need to Understand Their “Why”

Hosted by Isabelle Johannesen. Produced and edited by Maggie Nye. Audience development led by Morgan Little. Special thanks to the Foundry and Cheddar video teams.

Continue Reading

Science & Technology

The High Risk, High Reward Model of Backing Immigrant Founders l Build Mode

Immigrant founders have built some of the world’s most valuable companies, but many still face barriers that make it harder to get a startup off the ground. Visa restrictions, limited access to friends-and-family capital, shallow networks, and a venture industry built around pattern matching can keep promising founders from getting funded before they have a…

Published

on

Immigrant founders have built some of the world’s most valuable companies, but many still face barriers that make it harder to get a startup off the ground. Visa restrictions, limited access to friends-and-family capital, shallow networks, and a venture industry built around pattern matching can keep promising founders from getting funded before they have a chance to prove themselves.

In this episode of Build Mode, host Isabelle Johannesen sits down with Manan Mehta, co-founder and managing partner of Unshackled Ventures, to talk about why he believes immigrant founders represent one of venture capital’s biggest overlooked opportunities. Manan breaks down how Unshackled built an investment model designed to help founders navigate immigration barriers, why traditional VC pattern matching causes investors to miss potential outliers, and how his team evaluates founders at day zero—often before they have a product, customers, or traction. He also explains why the structural gaps that make some founders harder to fund may be exactly where investors should be looking for outsized returns.

Subscribe to Build Mode:
Apple Podcasts
Spotify
Wherever you like to listen
New episodes of Build Mode drop every Thursday.

Chapters:
00:00 – Why VCs Miss Outlier Founders
01:45 – Why Manan Mehta Founded Unshackled Ventures
04:15 – The Problem With VC Pattern Matching
06:15 – The Friends-and-Family Gap for Immigrant Founders
08:18 – How Unshackled Helps Founders Navigate Visas
10:40 – Building a Startup in Today’s Immigration Environment
12:19 – Solving One of Unshackled’s Hardest Immigration Cases
14:39 – What the U.S. Stands to Lose
16:59 – Raising Unshackled’s First Venture Funds
19:40 – Can You Start a Company on an H-1B Visa?
22:13 – How to Evaluate a Founder at Day Zero
28:30 – Measuring IQ, AQ, EQ, and SQ
30:26 – How Fear Drives VC Pattern Matching
33:01 – Why Structural Gaps Create Outlier Opportunities
35:14 – Finding Startup Capital Outside Traditional VC
38:09 – Why Founders Need to Understand Their “Why”

Hosted by Isabelle Johannesen. Produced and edited by Maggie Nye. Audience development led by Morgan Little. Special thanks to the Foundry and Cheddar video teams.

Continue Reading

Science & Technology

Hands-on With Google’s New Pixel 11 Devices

Get a hands-on look at Google’s new Pixel 11 lineup, from the more durable Pro Fold, an updated new camera bar, and of course, a push for Gemini AI features.

Published

on

Get a hands-on look at Google’s new Pixel 11 lineup, from the more durable Pro Fold, an updated new camera bar, and of course, a push for Gemini AI features.

Continue Reading

Trending